Crazy Is Real

New at the Belmont Club. We presume rational actors in a world that is often insane.

Belmont Club: The Amorite Iniquity Effect
The big build up of Gaza as an impregnable Hamas tunnel fortress has turned in a comparatively short time into the saga of martyr city, soon to be displaced person’s camp, the West’s wards. Leaving politics and ethics aside, the military collapse suggests Hamas soldiers have been poorly served by t…

Whoops. Gone.

My latest at PJMedia VIP. When the Obama future becomes obsolete before it ever happens.

The Fate of Obama’s Third Term
Joe Biden has now presided over the Great Fracture, which has essentially ended the “global world,” thus putting the kibosh on the Davos Great Reset and many other grand plans. “Russia’s war on Ukraine split the world into two camps, nations that condemned Vladimir Putin’s invasion and those that di…

Discontinuity

New at the Belmont Club: Joe Biden’s brave new world. Where am I?

The Belmont Club: Inflection Point
The unambiguous loser of the Iran vs Israel war is Joe Biden’s Middle East policy. Any plausible continuation requires a completely different set of people, policies and approach. The former road now seems fundamentally flawed. It’s not a question of waiting for things to blow over and keep going be…

Forever Wars

New at the Belmont Club. Military pointlessness is disproportionate.

The Belmont Club: A War Designed To Be Perpetually Inconclusive Is Not Always Moral
One of the most poorly informed debates in the media coverage of war, is the concept of ‘proportionality’. The average person understands it as a kind of transaction. If X kills N citizens of Y, then Y can fairly retaliate by killing N*(1+i) citizens of X, i being a penalty. But what it really means…