Author Archives: Richard Fernandez

New at the Belmont Club. Biden is waiting for Putin to come through the door, not saw a hole in the floor he’s standing on.

New at the Belmont Club. When you realize the driver has no idea where he’s going.

New at the Belmont Club. When the pandemic finally ends, there’s one last drug you need to stop taking.

New at the Belmont Club. When the officially nonexistent starts knocking at your door.

Boris Johnson warns Russia has “60 … battle groups” (presumably battalion tactical groups) ready “for a lightning war that could take out Kiev”.

New at the Belmont Club. Making the most of a weak hand.

Judging from the amount of prestige and resources Russia has poured into it, Putin seems committed to risk at least limited military action in the Ukraine. It could be a repeat of Putin’s earlier campaign of subversion or involve a conventional overt component. America’s dilemma is to respond without escalating the military conflict while potentially …

Continue reading “Ukraine”

New at the Belmont Club. The world after Covid won’t look like 2019.

New at the Belmont Club. The unexpected happens to America’s rivals too.

New at the Belmont Club. Two public health strategies, many weary publics and one endless war against a hit and run virus.

https://www.wsj.com/articles/biden-on-covid-no-federal-solution-11640648750

New at the Belmont Club. Are you sure Santa isn’t real?

https://www.wsj.com/articles/fauci-collins-emails-great-barrington-declaration-covid-pandemic-lockdown-11640129116

Putin’s low regard for the administration is making him reckless in Ukraine. https://www.aspistrategist.org.au/putins-ukraine-calculation/

https://www.cnn.com/2021/12/22/politics/joe-biden-polling-public-approval/index.html

Russia’s Gazprom PJSC has steadily reduced gas flows to Europe as the controversial Nord Stream 2 pipeline had its certification delayed until possibly July. No new flows into Europe are forcing utilities to drain their gas storages (already at seasonal lows). Some utilities have had to restart fossil fuel generators to avoid grid disruption.

New at the Belmont Club. How do you break out of the loser’s spiral?

New at the Belmont Club. The end of the 20th century was a very special time. Only politicians could think it would last forever.

The threatened invasion of Ukraine