The first war of automatons

The US cyberstrikes Iran’s missile systems after Tehran shoots down a US drone. This is not the end of war but a change of its forms. Just as the Coral Sea was the first naval engagement beyond visual range of the opposing fleets this is the first battle in which only automata die.

So far at least.

But the effects of virtual war are quite real, the economic cost stupendous. Just as our life savings are merely a database entry but vital what is essential in the modern world is invisible to the eye.

The one possibility the left was unprepared for was if Trump did not strike militarily at Iran. Bomb, damn you, bomb. What? No bombing?

The great thing about old style warfare is everybody knew where they stood. You were a civilian or you wore a uniform. Wars were declared. Enemies surrendered. The clever theorist believed they could gain advantages by cheating on all those fronts. Boy were they wrong.

Sea hunt

In 1970 to 1980 trained dolphins killed 2 Russian frogmen who were putting limpet mines on a US cargo ship in Cam Ranh bay in Vietnam.[19] Subsequently, Russian PDSS frogmen were trained to fight back against trained dolphins. In an incident on the coast of Nicaragua PDSS frogmen killed trained anti-frogman dolphins. Arrival of underwater rifles and pistols seems to make the trained animal threat less.

Wikipedia

But the dolphins struck back.

Though the Navy declines to discuss the classified program in detail, former Navy trainers of the dolphins say the animals are being taught to kill enemy divers with nose-mounted guns and explosives.

NYT

Anyhow, look who’s interested in swimmer attack technology. Iran.

“Just a few years ago, Ukraine restarted training the animals for military purposes, though it may have been close to phasing it back out just before Russia’s annexation of the Crimean peninsula last year. In any case, Russia helped itself to Ukraine’s stable of combat dolphins after Moscow took over Crimea. And four Ukrainian military dolphins had actually ben sold to Iran and transported by air in 2000, according to the BBC.”

Tech Billionaire To Joe Rogan: ‘The Left Has Won The Culture Wars. Now They’re Just Driving Around Shooting Survivors’

And just think. All this time the population was worried about neo-Nazis holding conventions in some low rent venue.

“[They need to] realize that these social media platforms are picking the next president, the next congressmen — they’re literally picking — and they have the power to pick, so they will be controlled by the government.” …

“The most powerful people in the world today are the people who are writing the algorithms for Twitter, Facebook and Instagram because they’re controlling the spread of information. They’re literally rewriting people’s brains. They’re programming the culture.”

Red State

So was it a race all along between the Chinese Commies, the Western PC socialists and radical Islam for who’d get to rule the world? All those people on TV — did they know?

Or is the case that this human rule, this man-made narrative that will last a thousand years is no more proof against reality than Ozymandias? The biggest fear of those who are writing the algorithms for social media is that someone else is writing the algorithms of the world.

Incident in the Gulf

There was a scripted outcome that fell apart. The IRGC tried to ad lib but flubbed its lines. The open source evidence points to an attempt to goad the Trump admin into escalation in the belief that would damage the US politically. The fish weren’t biting that day but they’ll try again.

It seems that those who planned the attack believed that at least one ship would sink and that they could valiantly rescue the sailors. …
In addition they likely hoped the ship would sink with the evidence aboard, including the unexploded mine. …
The Iranians didn’t stop trying to get hold of both ships until June 14. An Iranian tugboat reportedly approached the Kokuka and even wanted to push it back towards Iranian waters before the Bainbridge interceded.

Jerusalem Post

The problem with hybrid operations is complexity. The Iranians were aiming for political and media effects not simply kinetic ones. The scenario called for valiantly forcibly rescuing the survivors. That meant the explosive couldn’t be too big. But it proved too small.

Modern warfare as it exists, less resembles WW2 than the rocket attacks from Gaza into Israel or the shooting up of Sri Lankan “Easter worshipper” churches. The objective isn’t geographical features but column inches, invitations to talk shows, followers on Twitter.

The goal of modern war is not the conquest of a state but its takeover by means of assisting to power the domestic political force most congenial to the attacker. “Collusion” is not the exception but the entire point.

In fairness this is exactly the game America is playing against Iran. It doesn’t want to conquer the territory but ensure that a “moderate” and/or “reformist” faction comes to power in Tehran. It would be silly to think China and Russia are not trying the same stunt on Washington.

That’s why the cry “sappers are in the wire” is still valid even though it’s a different kind of sapper and a different kind of wire.

https://pjmedia.com/richardfernandez/theyre-coming-through-the-wire/

One of the reasons things are so confused and upsetting is that the media, which heretofore stood off to one side as chroniclers of the kinetic battle, are now one of the combatant arms. They are the panzer columns of modern hybrid war, along with the social media platforms.

Prosecutors and their power

But was the real-life Ms. Fairstein as scheming as the TV version? (She is played by Felicity Huffman, who was arrested in the college admissions scandal after filming was complete.)

NYT

Is the system capable of conveying unvarnished truth?

But it’s not just about 5 wrongly convicted teenagers in NYC who have lost their youth and lives. It may be about significant problems with prosecutorial misconduct.

It’s not about trade but the kind of world we want to live in.

If you watch from 12:00 on you’ll get the feeling the next global financial crisis may already be brewing in China. The 5G discussion is at 20:00. Spalding’s interview is a must watch. The words almost flood in. “I’d bet they’re asleep in New York. I’d bet they’re asleep all over America…”

“Your phone knows more about you than you could ever imagine. Where does that data go? It goes to the highest bidder.” …

“If you don’t even know who’s oppressing you, what good is a gun?” …

“You have to decouple. If you embrace China, you will lose.” …

“China’s waiting on the 2020 elections. That’s what the Communist Party has decided.”

Creating more vulnerabilities

The problem with making service providers responsible for content is it implicitly makes them responsible for political intelligence gathering and intelligence targets for hostile powers. Instead of gathering intel themselves enemy powers can just spy on the service providers.

Or worse it can create a business opportunity for social media service providers to sell political intelligence to foreign powers. Isn’t this exactly what Cambridge Analytica is accused of doing? Yet they are mere lice on the giant hound.

Crime of the Congo

I am rereading Arthur Conan Doyle’s “Crime of the Congo”, detailing little Belgium’s monumental atrocities in Africa, made famous in Conrad’s Heart of Darkness. It’s easy to understand in retrospect how Europe blundered into the Great War. It had lost track of reality.

Watching the way in which the media makes its own narrative today one wonders whether the seed of destruction lies not so much without as within.

Crime of the Congo, free on Kindle